Event Rates and Risk factors for Cardiovascular Events in a United Kingdom Population with Hypertension

Study type
Protocol
Date of Approval
Study reference ID
21_000499
Lay Summary

Patients with hypertension are at greater risk of cardiovascular (CV) event such as heart attack (myocardial infarction) or cerebral stroke, and other events such as severe kidney disease. Recent guidelines provide recommendations on treatment and lifestyle strategies aiming to reduce the risk of such events. Hypertension therapy is used to reduce the blood pressure to recommended targets and to maintain it over time. In the most recent guidelines, it is recommended to initiate two low antihypertensive treatments, preferably in one single pill combination, in individuals with specific measures of blood pressure. However, despite the availability of such strategy, there are limited information on how these recommendations apply to the entire population with hypertension. Therefore, this study will use anonymized information routinely collected during general practice visits and hospital stays, and from death certificates to assess the number of events such as heart attack, stroke, severe kidney disease, and CV death in a population with hypertension in the United Kingdom. We will also assess which factors, for instance, age, sex, concomitant diabetes, are associated with these events or death. Lastly, we will observe which treatments were prescribed over time and the associated level of blood pressure.

Technical Summary

The planned study design is a longitudinal retrospective observational cohort study based on a population with hypertension determined from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) and Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) database in the United Kingdom. These databases will be utilized for baseline characteristics such as laboratory measures or comorbidities. CPRD database will be utilized to study treatment patterns and achieved systolic blood pressure (SBP) over time, and HES and Office for National Statistics (ONS) databases to follow up the study outcomes. Primary objective and first secondary objective will describe event rates over time for the primary and secondary cardiovascular (CV) outcomes, as well as for the other secondary outcomes (including end stage renal disease, dementia and all-cause death) via Kaplan-Meier analyses. Primary CV outcomes include nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke (ischemic or haemorrhagic), hospitalization for heart failure, and CV death. Secondary CV outcomes include the primary CV outcomes plus atrial fibrillation, carotid surgery, coronary revascularization (angioplasty or surgery), peripheral revascularization and abdominal aortic aneurysm repair. Possible risk factors for the primary and secondary outcomes will be assessed via a Cox proportional hazards model and will include patient demographics, clinical characteristics, laboratory measures, lifestyle, and medication characteristics. Summary statistics of these variables will be provided as part of the second secondary objective. To address the last secondary objective, treatment summary measures over time for anti-hypertensive therapies, as well as rates of all possible events informing treatment initiation, intensification, discontinuation, and re-start, and SBP levels will be described. Analyses will be provided for the whole study population and separately for each subgroup of interest (diabetes mellitus at baseline, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease at baseline, treatment with commonly prescribed anti-hypertensive agents (ramipril, irbesartan, or amlodipine) at baseline, and subgroups defined by number of antihypertensive therapies at baseline and early during follow-up).

Health Outcomes to be Measured

Primary outcome will be defined as composite of nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI), nonfatal stroke (ischemic or haemorrhagic), hospitalization for heart failure, and cardiovascular (CV) death.
Secondary outcomes will be defined as: composite of nonfatal MI, nonfatal stroke, hospitalization for heart failure, end stage renal disease (ESRD), and CV death; composite of nonfatal MI, nonfatal stroke, hospitalization for heart failure, ESRD, atrial fibrillation, carotid surgery, coronary revascularization (angioplasty or surgery), peripheral revascularization, dementia diagnosis, and CV death; nonfatal MI, nonfatal stroke, CV death, all-cause death, hospitalization for heart failure, ESRD, atrial fibrillation, carotid surgery, coronary revascularization (angioplasty or surgery), peripheral revascularization, abdominal aortic aneurysm repair, or dementia diagnosis, separately.
Descriptive variables during the follow-up will be anti-hypertensive therapies (including angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor, angiotensin receptor blocker, calcium channel blocker, diuretic, beta-blockers, spironolactone, and alpha-blockers) and systolic blood pressure levels.

Collaborators

Pia Horvat - Chief Investigator - IQVIA Ltd ( UK )
Christopher Lee - Corresponding Applicant - IQVIA Ltd ( UK )
Alexandra Koumas - Collaborator - Axtria Inc. USA
Ankita Chauhan - Collaborator - Axtria Inc. USA
Anna Castelo Branco - Collaborator - IMS Health Sweden AB
Aurore Tricotel - Collaborator - IQVIA Operations France SAS
Christian Siegfried - Collaborator - Axtria Inc. USA
Christopher Lee - Collaborator - IQVIA Ltd ( UK )
Emil Vatov - Collaborator - IQVIA Solution Bulgaria EOOD
Gianluca Lucrezi - Collaborator - IQVIA AG (Switzerland)
Jessica Lundbom - Collaborator - IQVIA Ltd ( UK )
Louise Raiteri - Collaborator - IQVIA Ltd ( UK )
Nelly Ly - Collaborator - IQVIA Ltd ( UK )
Nicole Rutishauser - Collaborator - IQVIA II Technology Solutions Portugal, Unipessoal LDA
Oriane BRETIN - Collaborator - IQVIA Operations France SAS
Quratul Ann - Collaborator - IQVIA Ltd ( UK )
Sophia Rodopoulou - Collaborator - IQVIA Hellas Technology Solutions S.A.
Stavros Oikonomou - Collaborator - IQVIA Solution Bulgaria EOOD
Sushant Pal - Collaborator - Axtria India Pvt. Ltd.
Tarana Mehdikhanova - Collaborator - IQVIA Ltd ( UK )
Vanessa Marzola - Collaborator - IMS Health Sweden AB

Former Collaborators

Cecilia Lourdudoss - Collaborator - IMS Health Sweden AB
Gianluca Lucrezi - Collaborator - IQVIA
Jessica Lundbom - Collaborator - IQVIA Ltd ( UK )
Pavle Pazanin - Collaborator - IQVIA Solutions Sweden AB
Pia Horvat - Collaborator - IQVIA Ltd ( UK )
Sarah Jenner - Collaborator - IQVIA Ltd ( UK )

Linkages

HES Admitted Patient Care;ONS Death Registration Data;Patient Level Index of Multiple Deprivation